The adaptive interpolation method: a simple scheme to prove replica formulas in Bayesian inference

The stochastic interpolation method: A simple scheme to prove replica formulas in Bayesian inference

In recent years important progress has been achieved towards proving the validity of the replica predictions for the (asymptotic) mutual information (or “free energy”) in Bayesian inference problems. The proof techniques that have emerged appear to be quite general, despite they have been worked out on a case-by-case basis. Unfortunately, a common point between all these schemes is their relati...

A PAC-Bayesian approach to adaptive inference

A One-Stage Two-Machine Replacement Strategy Based on the Bayesian Inference Method

In this research, we consider an application of the Bayesian Inferences in machine replacement problem. The application is concerned with the time to replace two machines producing a specific product; each machine doing a special operation on the product when there are manufacturing defects because of failures. A common practice for this kind of problem is to fit a single distribution to the co...

An Introduction to Inference and Learning in Bayesian Networks

Bayesian networks (BNs) are modern tools for modeling phenomena in dynamic and static systems and are used in different subjects such as disease diagnosis, weather forecasting, decision making and clustering. A BN is a graphical-probabilistic model which represents causal relations among random variables and consists of a directed acyclic graph and a set of conditional probabilities. Structure...

Adaptive Bayesian Inference

Motivated by stochastic systems in which observed evidence and conditional dependencies between states of the network change over time, and certain quantities of interest (marginal distributions, likelihood estimates etc.) must be updated, we study the problem of adaptive inference in tree-structured Bayesian networks. We describe an algorithm for adaptive inference that handles a broad range o...